Weekend inspection: Snow White to revive the box office despite a decline in tracking

Boxoffice platform

Prediction of the 3 best films at the local box office From 21 to 23 March 2025

Week 12 | From 21 to 23 March 2025

1. snow white
Walt Disney Pictures new
Weekend: $ 45 million – $ 55 million
Showtime market share: 27 %

Positives

• because snow white It has been tracked since it started selling before Monday last week, our Prediction Committee expects to open up on a $ 50 million mark. On the positive side, the family audience who is not online may not have little awareness of the public relations disaster surrounding the film. Disney films, especially live modifications, are not strangers to the online culture wars, but this was rarely a decisive financial factor. In addition, theaters really need a movie like this now after the end of last week published the weakest framework of the 2025 so far. Last year’s framework was 12 for the first time, similar from $ 45 million from Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire.

• snow white He does not have any competition directly until he brings Minecraft Barget the Minecraft movie on April 4. This gives them a clear runway to find his fans through the strength of the movie itself, not advertising. With the primary critical reactions amazingly positive, given all the accumulation of negative media, the referrals that the transparent word is a distinctive possibility. Also, let’s not forget that the opening weekend is not far from the final statement of films like this. An example of this: MUFASA in December: The Lion King was opened to 35 million dollars, but the strength of the film and non -competition in January helped carry it via a threshold of $ 250 million locally. The opening at the weekend alone will not provide the full image of how we evaluate snow whitePerform the box office.

cons

• It is safe to say that Disney has offended her hand by not allowing press coverage for snow white The first show, converting public relations friendships around the film into the story instead of the movie itself. The last time in modern memory came a movie with this level of public relations headache is WB 2022 Do not worry my loveShe was very overwhelmed Inside the negative baseball She did not create her identity as a movie. It was not the sale before it was nice snow whiteWith some members of our prediction committee, indicating a potential ground at $ 30 million this week.

If you do not calculate the sequences/accidental sequences or movies that have moved directly to Disney+, there will be no direct direct work operations for Disney Animated Classics to hit multiple metal as you think. Here is how the previous entries opened a play …

• King of Assad (2019) – 191.77 million dollars / 543.6 million local dollars
• beauty and the beast (2017) – The opening of 174.75 million dollars / 504 million domestic dollars
• Is it not in the country of wonders? (2010) – Opening 116.1 million dollars / 334.19 million domestic dollars
• Forest Book (2016) – The opening of 103.26 million dollars / 364 million domestic dollars
• Little Mermaid (2023) – 95.57 million dollars / 298.17 million local dollars
• Aladdin (2019) – The opening of 91.5 million dollars / 355.55 million local dollars
• Cinderella (2015) – The opening of 67.87 million dollars / 201.15 million local dollars
• Dombo (2019) – The opening of 45.99 million dollars / 114.76 million local dollars
• 101 dalmatians (1996) – The opening of $ 33.5 million / 136.18 million domestic dollars

while King of Assad and beauty and the beast Among the 20 largest dignitaries in Disney’s history (including Lucasfilm, Marvel and Pixar), others did not set fire to the world exactly. if snow white It opens as much as we expect, it will definitely be among the low lung operas on this list.

2. Al Farasu Alto
Warner Bruce new
Weekend: $ 3 million – $ 5 million
Showtime market share: 7 %

Positives

• Oscar -winning director Barry Levinson with the legend of acting Robert De Niro for the fifth time in the cheerful period game, a elevator stadium worth the box office expectations much higher than our numbers. Al Farasu Alto It revolves around the mob leaders in 1950 from Vito Ginoviz and Frank Costilo and has been under development for decades, but Di Nero holds in the appropriate era only to play the parts without dispersion of Cgi of Cgi of Cgi of Irish.

cons

• The dull marketing campaign may be responsible for the slow tracking of one of these proportions. Unfortunately, the film has a little awareness or marketing support and will have difficulty standing in the market. The freshness and the oldest programming of the public should be sufficient Alto Forsan To finish second, but it can slide realistically to sixth place in the first ten positions this week. Weak initial reviews (currently 37 % on spoiled tomatoesScotch has a big way. Boxofice Company The film currently lists fourth place among all titles in terms of market share.

The third race:

Novocaine | Paramount | Week 2
Black bag | Focus features Week 2
Mickey 17 | Warner Bruce Week 3
Weekend: $ 3 million – 4 million dollars

Positives

• We expect another race soon between these three titles for third place on the platform. We are currently giving the edge NovakayinThe top of last week with the opening of $ 8.8 million and has the highest concentration of the presentation times for the next frame between this trio of addresses. 89 % RT degree with 4 out of 5 stars on Posttrak gives it the word mouth Black bagWhich has a 71 % audience decrease. but, Black bag (7.6 million dollars) managed to get out more than the division Mickey 17 (7.4 million dollars) for second place when the actual came on Monday, and we believe that it should remain this weekend as well.

cons

• Although we have Mickey 17 At the bottom of the group, it can end with the same second place with the total/attractive awareness of the list outside snow white In this context.